Campaigns and Elections,Podcast

Anticipating the Final Marquette Law School Poll of the Campaign

1 Nov , 2016  

Homestretch in Wisconsin

On Wednesday, Marquette University Law School’s Charles Franklin will unveil the results of his final campaign-season poll of the Wisconsin electorate. Today’s podcast looks at why this poll is considered the ‘gold standard,’ and what I expect it to reveal.

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Campaigns and Elections,Dailytakes On Air

The Week in Review

28 Oct , 2016  

Clinton’s and Trump’s paths to 270 electoral votes.

Wikileaks and Bill Clinton, Inc.

Russ Feingold’s arrogance.

Does Senator Johnson have a chance?

News from the state legislative races.

Trump’s short and long-term impact on the GOP.

I discussed all this and more today on the RightWisconsin Week in Review with Charlie Sykes (and Kevin Binversie) on AM 620 WTMJ in Milwaukee.

Listen, here:

 

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Campaigns and Elections

It IS a Binary Choice

18 Oct , 2016  

It is true. For Wisconsin Republicans, this fall presents a binary choice.

I choose the party of Paul Ryan over the cult of Donald Trump.

Trump can’t win here. He only came to Green Bay to thumb his nose at Paul Ryan. It’s a sign of an insecure person. A bully.

Meanwhile, I spent the weekend in Ohio. Clearly, Trump’s grip on that state is in jeopardy. But he’s 7 points down here. Smart campaign, one driven by facts, not emotions, would focus attention on OH, NC and FL not Wisconsin. But then he wouldn’t get to feel good by having some goons chant ‘Paul Ryan sucks’ in Wisconsin. (Irony alert: If you go to a GOP election rally in Wisconsin and chant that towards the most popular Republican elected official in the state, it is YOU who is the actual RINO). More…

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Campaigns and Elections,Fraley

I am voting for Evan McMullin

11 Oct , 2016  

Well, it’s a time for choosing.

When I cast my vote for President, I will be voting for a conservative Republican whose agenda I believe in, whose commitment to liberty is beyond doubt and whose grasp of the issues and ability to work with GOP House and Senate members would serve the party and more importantly America, well.

mcmlogoI am going to vote for Evan McMullin.

I am not ‘done’ with the Republican Party. Rather, I remain committed to the Party of Lincoln. And Reagan. And Thompson. And Walker. And Schimel. And Vukmir. And Kooyenga. And Hutton. And, me.

The most important race for Wisconsin conservatives and moderates this fall is the re-election of GOP United States Senator Ron Johnson. But when it comes to the Presidency, the GOP’s official nominee is so woefully deficient, I’ve looked elsewhere.

And I was #NeverHillary decades before I was #NeverTrump.

Fortunately, I do not have to settle for the lesser of two evils. More…

Campaigns and Elections

My take on the 1st debate, Trump, Clinton and Lester Holt

27 Sep , 2016  

Enough with the complaining about Lester Holt.

As someone who dislikes both candidates who were on the stage last night, I’m a good fit to analyze the first 2016 general election presidential candidate face-off.

You can always tell who lost the debate. It’s the campaign that whines about the moderator. Lester Holt did a pretty good job as the moderator. Keeping Trump’s erratic behavior in check is a lot like herding cats. Some Trump supporters are upset that Holt interrupted Trump more than Holt interrupted Clinton. But Trump is a bully in life and that includes on the debate stage. He was constantly interrupting and interjecting during Clinton’s answers. That’s his right. But, I think Holt provided a nice check on that. Holt sat back at times and let the candidates debate back and forth, which was a smart thing to do and takes a lot of self discipline.

I do think the one glaring omission was not asking her about the Clinton Foundation and what that says about her ethics and her decision making. However, it’s not fair to blame Holt for all the missed opportunities Trump let fly by as he was instead obsessed with defending just how wealthy he was, and defending Russia against claims of cyber espionage. Trump had several missed opportunities. You could tell he didn’t prepare; and, throughout the night, Trump’s thin-skin got the best of him. More…

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Campaigns and Elections

Previewing Tonight’s Presidential Debate

26 Sep , 2016  

Donald Trump will win the debate. He has absolutely no expectations he must meet. Other than, perhaps, not completely losing it and punching his opponent. All of the weight rests on Hillary Clinton’s shoulders tonight. While I expect her to be adequate in both her temperament and rhetoric, the only way she wins is if she is exceptional and successfully baits Trump into exposing himself as the ignorant con man that we know him to be. It is more likely, however, that any attempt by her to do that will backfire, as she seems incapable of running a competent general election campaign so far. More…

Campaigns and Elections

Obamacare could (and should) be the key issue in Johnson-Feingold Senate Race

30 Aug , 2016  

Politico recently published an article that highlighted Obamacare rate increases in states where there are competitive US Senate races this fall. The reporter accurately quoted me, but I thought I’d take this opportunity to expand my thoughts a bit.

I told her, flat out that I think the fallout from the ACA implementation could be a sleeper issue in the Wisconsin race that could propel Senator Johnson to victory in November.
All the pieces are there for the Senator to effectively campaign on this issue.
If Johnson were to frame the issue correctly, he could make Feingold’s vote for Obamacare an albatross that would drag him down to defeat in November. He could simply tell voters: “If you have better access to better, more affordable healthcare now than you did 6 years ago, vote for Senator Feingold. If not, don’t reward the man who cast the decisive vote to pass Obamacare.”
There are clear differences between Johnson, Feingold regarding Obamacare. And there are plenty of reason why that contrast matters to Wisconsinites.

More…

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Campaigns and Elections

2018 Governor’s Race: Dem Bench is Weak, But a lot Can Change in a Year

10 Aug , 2016  

The Capital Times’ Jessie Opoien asked for my take on the 2018 Governor’s vace. Will Walker seek another term? Who are the democrats going to run?

“The Democrats’ bench is weak,” said Republican strategist Brian Fraley, head of the conservative firm Edge Messaging. “But a lot can change in a year. And the Trump impact on the 2018 electorate can’t be predicted at this point. Also, some mid-tier Democrat could get wind behind their sails over the next year.”

Click here to check out the whole article and my other thoughts on the race.

Campaigns and Elections,Pop Culture

Who did it better?

19 Jul , 2016  

Trump?

Or Y2J?

Or Prince Nassem Hamed?

(Suggestion: Play the three videos, above, simultaneously with the audio down, and then decide!)