Campaigns and Elections,Edge Messaging,Podcast,Public Policy
Dan Deibert and I discuss the findings from the latest Marquette University Law School Poll, which were released this afternoon.
Here are the top-line numbers. The cross tabs can be found here.
This will be the last poll before the primary, which is less than 4 weeks away (August 14).
Brian Fraley, Campaigns and Elections, Donald Trump, edge messaging, Elections, Foxconn, Kevin Nicholson, Leah Vukmir, Scott Walker, Tammy Baldwin, Tony Evers, Wisconsin, Wisconsin Primary
The latest Marquette University Law School Poll is out, and we’re talking numbers, trends and outliers in this quick video podcast. Talk of a Blue Wave hitting Wisconsin is a bit premature, and while results of this poll are mixed, overall both Scott Walker and Tammy Baldwin have more reasons to like them than fear them. Details, here:
EdgeCast 06.20.18 Marquette Law School Poll Results from Edge Messaging on Vimeo.
Click here for the top-line results.
Here are the cross tabs.
Campaigns and Elections, Donald Trump, Elections, Foxconn, Kevin Nicholson, Leah Vukmir, MU Law Poll, Scott Walker, Tammy Baldin, Tony Evers
We covered a ton of ground in 16 minutes this morning on WTMJ radio.
For those who want to pick and choose topics, here are approximate timestamps.
3:00 Why the tax cuts are not energizing GOP voters
4:50 The Dems are all-in opposed to Foxconn
5:50 Walker’s DOT Secretary spreading the Dem message on Foxconn
6:45 It is imperative we re-elect Governor Walker
8:20 Squabbles in GOP US Senate primary not smart
10:00 Tammy Baldwin’s election year revelation
11:50 How should GOP candidates handle Trump issue?
13:30 More Foxconn discussion
14:30 Free advice
620 WTMJ, Debate, Donald Trump, edge messaging, Elections, Foxconn, GOP, Kevin Nicholson, Leah Vukmir, Scott Walker, Tammy Baldwin
Dailytakes On Air,Fraley,Public Policy
The folks at WTMJ’s Milwaukee studio called the Edge Messaging production facility in Brookfield and we discussed tonight’s looming federal government shutdown. Who wins? Who loses? Who’s to blame? Will anyone blink?
Campaigns and Elections,Dailytakes On Air
Clinton’s and Trump’s paths to 270 electoral votes.
Wikileaks and Bill Clinton, Inc.
Russ Feingold’s arrogance.
Does Senator Johnson have a chance?
News from the state legislative races.
Trump’s short and long-term impact on the GOP.
I discussed all this and more today on the RightWisconsin Week in Review with Charlie Sykes (and Kevin Binversie) on AM 620 WTMJ in Milwaukee.
Brian Fraley, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Luther Olsen, RightWisconsin, WTMJ
Sinclair Broadcast Group’s Stephen Loiaconi called me for my take on the last two weeks of the election and what it will mean for tight down ballot races.
A Democratic takeover of the House remains a longshot, but if Trump’s support keeps dropping, it is no longer an impossibility.
“The Republican Party’s grip on the Senate is tenuous, at best,” said Republican strategist Brian Fraley. “With Trump surrogates berating vulnerable GOP senators who have not drank enough orange Kool-Aid, the Trump campaign’s last two weeks is shaping up to be a burn-it-all-down tantrum that could put the balance of power in the House in jeopardy, too.”
“Trump may damage the brand, relationships, donor stream and infrastructure of the Republican Party so much, that a rebound in 2018 will be a lot tougher,” Fraley said.
Read the rest of the article here.
A little over a week ago Fox 6 Milwaukee asked me why Donald Trump was coming back to Wisconsin when he was down seven points:
“Well he can’t win. But this isn’t about winning. This is about coming to Wisconsin and thumb his nose at Paul Ryan,” said Brian Fraley, a Republican strategist who is a Ryan supporter and has been outspoken against Trump.
Sure enough the other night at Trump’s rally in Green Bay, supporters chanted “Paul Ryan Sucks!” while Republican Party of Wisconsin Chair Brad Courtney stood on stage flustered. Courtney later put out a statement reaffirming the party’s support of Ryan. As I have said before, picking a fight with the most popular elected Republican in Wisconsin is just one of the thousands of stupid things Trump has done in the last six months.
Last night Fox 6 ran another story and wanted my take on where this puts the speaker now and for the future.
“There has to be tremendous anguish going on there, and a lot of conflict,” said Brian Fraley, GOP strategist. Fraley, a Ryan supporter who is outspoken against Trump, says the speaker is in a tough spot.
“When you have this kind of cult of personality, where does someone that’s an ideological thought leader and a proven conservative like Paul Ryan — how does he work with that?” Fraley said.
Paul Ryan hasn’t commented on the chants but numerous Wisconsin conservatives spoke out in support of him including the governor. You can watch the full Fox 6 story here.
It is true. For Wisconsin Republicans, this fall presents a binary choice.
I choose the party of Paul Ryan over the cult of Donald Trump.
Trump can’t win here. He only came to Green Bay to thumb his nose at Paul Ryan. It’s a sign of an insecure person. A bully.
Meanwhile, I spent the weekend in Ohio. Clearly, Trump’s grip on that state is in jeopardy. But he’s 7 points down here. Smart campaign, one driven by facts, not emotions, would focus attention on OH, NC and FL not Wisconsin. But then he wouldn’t get to feel good by having some goons chant ‘Paul Ryan sucks’ in Wisconsin. (Irony alert: If you go to a GOP election rally in Wisconsin and chant that towards the most popular Republican elected official in the state, it is YOU who is the actual RINO). More…
Veteran journalist Craig Gilbert of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel called me last week for my take on what Trump has done to the Republican Party of Wisconsin.
Its leading Republicans are in limbo, rendered mostly mute about Trump amid mounting allegations over his treatment of women. They aren’t recanting their support for their nominee. But they aren’t defending him or campaigning with him, either. The state’s top GOP officials will be absent when Trump holds a rally in Green Bay Monday.
….But while Ryan has angered hard-core Trump backers, “a lot of Trump’s most ardent supporters in Wisconsin never were (staunch) Republicans,” said Brian Fraley, a Trump critic who once served as the state GOP’s political director.
“There is going to be a lot of long-term shakeout with this no matter who wins, and no matter how large the defeat is,” said Fraley, who said he hasn’t given money to the party because he doesn’t want any of it to help elect Trump.
Donald Trump, edge messaging, Republican Party, Republican Party of Wisconsin, RPW
I had the pleasure of joining WISN’s Mike Gousha for his statewide show, UPFRONT. I weighed in on what Donald Trump’s formal nomination means for Wisconsin Republicans and those of us who are #NeverTrump.
You can watch my segment here.
My comments also appeared in this Capital Times article.