Fraley

My Electoral College Predictions

4 Nov , 2016  

Donald Trump’s rallies have been impressive. Hillary Clinton can’t draw flies.

Clinton is limping to the finish line, and there appears to be a Trump surge.

So, where are we headed?

I detail my predictions, here:

Here is a look at my Electoral College map (Courtesy of www.270towin.com)prediction

 

And here are the best and worst case scenario for the GOP nominee, in my opinion.

electoral-map

 

 

So, I’ve made my predictions. Share yours. What did I get right? What did I get wrong?

Have any intel from a cousin in Oklahoma or an old college roomie in Maryland? Comment, below.


4 Responses

  1. Rich Malloy says:

    I can only say not much passion among my millenial students – aside from angry Bernie supporters. Note: that is really different from the last three presidential elections when one had to be careful to avoid starting a fight.

  2. Clinton wins by 4 million votes, and 272 electoral votes. this whole system needs to be one person one vote, the electoral votes are a thing of the past and need to go.

    • John Wirth says:

      The electoral college provides potential relevancy to those of us in flyover country. Without it, candidates would largely ignore us.

  3. Shannon Recktenwald says:

    I honestly believe that Clinton will win.
    I do think she will carry NV and Az ( where I live).
    Fl is a toss up, but I think she will prevail their too.

    One important thing about Az is that the national polls have been saying for a few weeks that Trump has a 4-5 point lead, but that has never been what we have heard locally (as late as yesterday). Locally it has consistently been reported that she has from the beginning had a 3 point lead. The other thing we have in Az are a large number for Latino and Native American voters who are coming out in droves. I think this election is going to be more about not that you love Hillary Clinton (although many do), but more, the fear of a Trump Presidency. I think it’s going to be not so much a referendum for her, but one against him.

    The other thing Hillary has going for her is the female vote, and here’s what I mean. Like her or not, given the vitriol and distrust of Donald Trump’s sexism and misogyny, and the fact that we have never had a female President, I believe the majority of women when they go into the voting booth with feel the historical moment for our gender, even women who claim they are undecided. I already voted and I really was choked up voting . Unless you are a minority, I don’t think you can truly “feel the moment,” the historical weight that your vote is making history and that you are helping the female cause.

    I also think there are some Republican crossovers who will help her win. I think the whole Comey debacle wounded her but not enough to make her lose. I think it might, unfortunately for the Dems, have more effects on the down ballot. We’ll have to see.

    I actually think Trump is making an error continuing to talk about rigged elections bc It could keep some of his supporters home rather than embolden them. I mean if the election is rigged and their votes aren’t going to count anyway, why bother?

    I also, agree with the comment or above that the electoral college is antiquated and no longer necessary imo, so I would like to see it gone.

Comments are closed.