Parental obligations and client meetings this afternoon preclude me from the usual Marquette University rapid reaction video. But after getting grief from folks (who knew you cared?), I will take a minute to offer a brief perspective on the results.
Biggest takeaway is that while Republicans should not panic, many need to adapt and overcome. Three big things: 1, the Right Direction/Wrong Track numbers have a bad trajectory 2, there is a growing enthusiasm gap with Democrats more jazzed about the election than GOPers. And, 3, Despite six months of record unemployment in Wisconsin and a whole host of other good news, the mood of the electorate here is mirroring that of the national polls. That is, the traditional mid-term hangover for the party in power has emerged.
The question remains, of course, will things get better or worse over the next 49 days.
Leah Vukmir is clearly feeling the after effects of a bruising primary, one that pushed her so far to the right it pushed moderates and independents into Baldwin’s camp. The National Club For Growth strikes again!
Governor Walker, as he himself predicted, is now behind Evers. The Evers campaign received a post-primary boost and the Governor is suffering the triple whammy of mid-term funk, voters having 2-term incumbent fatigue, and a complacency that often accompanies prosperity (The public doesn’t clamor for tax cuts when the economy is booming; in fact, they are more willing to tolerate the increased social services spending that Democrats promise).
Polls are only a snapshot in time and a lot can happen in 49 days. But there isn’t a moment to waste, it is time kick it into gear. However, the problem with bad poll numbers is that they can impact donor and grassroots enthusiasm. Republicans up and down the ballot need to prevent that, first and foremost.
And, a bit about the President. This poll is not all about him. Generally, President Trump’s positives do not seep down the ballot, but his negatives always have. That has never been so evident in Wisconsin as it is in this poll. His unpopularity with college educated white women and independents is really hurting both Vukmir and Walker. (And, I suspect legislative Republicans may be seeing the same impact on their polling, by the way). No candidate will write off that demographic, and they do have good things to talk to them about, if they so choose. They need to!
In fact, in many policy areas the GOP candidates have great stories to tell all of Wisconsin. They need to find the right storytellers, and the undecided / leaning ears willing to give them a listen.
The Wisconsin GOP’s fate is in their own hands. They are not tied to the fortunes or misfortunes of President Trump. But the grassroots and the donors need to step up. As do the candidates. County party and regional offices need to start humming 14 hours a day. Callers need to call. Lit droppers need to drop. Donors need to donate. Leaders need to lead. It’s going to be a grind. So be it.
Dan Deibert and I discuss the findings from the latest Marquette University Law School Poll, which were released this afternoon.
This will be the last poll before the primary, which is less than 4 weeks away (August 14).
In his most extensive interview since leaving 620 WTMJ in Milwaukee, conservative author and pundit Charlie Sykes sat down with me for the latest episode of Outside the Bubble.
Now a fixture on national news programs, including MSNBC, Sykes reflects on his first year away from his Milwaukee radio talk show and reacts to his numerous, and vocal, critics.
The new Marquette University Law School poll out today had some interesting results. I broke it all down during a Facebook Live including the findings on Foxconn, President Trump, Governor Walker, Senator Baldwin and more.
The folks at WTMJ’s Milwaukee studio called the Edge Messaging production facility in Brookfield and we discussed tonight’s looming federal government shutdown. Who wins? Who loses? Who’s to blame? Will anyone blink?
So, as you know, I support efforts to invest in our transportation infrastructure. I think it is a key component in economic development efforts in Wisconsin. All the job training programs and incentive grants in the world won’t mean didily if getting raw materials and manufactured goods to and from market becomes harder and harder every year.
Fortunately, more and more lawmakers get it. And so does the public.
One of the key takeaways from this past election is that sensible lawmakers who aren’t afraid to tackle real problems have nothing to fear come election time.
Every single Wisconsin Republican lawmaker who has pledged to meet our economic development needs and invest in transportation infrastructure won on Tuesday.
Every single one. More…
Wisconsin’s transportation infrastructure is in crisis. As I’ve written, I believe it is imperative for conservative lawmakers to take the lead to find the most responsible and efficient ways to address this crisis and create a sustainable revenue source so things never get this bad again. But no matter your political persuasion, the transportation crisis is an issue that impacts every business in Wisconsin.>
We’ve come a long way but we can’t ignore the fact that the job is not yet done.
If you thought conservatives’ counter assault against the partisan witch hunters who tried to silence us was over, think again.
On Monday, the John K. MacIver Institute for Public Policy filed a class action in Federal Court.
From the official press release: More…
It’s time to get serious about the Wisconsin road, bridge and highway crisis, and it’s time for conservatives to lead the way toward resolving it.
Conservatives are guided by facts, not emotion. Here are the facts: